Less than 48 hours after Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels announced his decision not to enter the 2012 race for the White House, another Midwestern Republican with gubernatorial experience is set to take the plunge.
On Monday, the former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty will announce that he is officially entering the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.
Pawlenty has long been considered a likely candidate, but Monday's announcement will formalize a process that's been playing out for the last two years as various Republican hopefuls have been testing the waters.
But the field Pawlenty will enter on Monday is considerably smaller than some had predicted, following the decisions of Daniels, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, and businessman Donald Trump not to enter the race.
As for Pawlenty, he can take comfort in knowing he's entering a smaller field thus far and does so with higher name recognition than, say, Mitch Daniels though he's essentially tied with Rick Santorum.
According to a recent Gallup poll, the former Minnesota governor has 48 percent name recognition among Republicans, essentially tied with 47 percent for Santorum, the former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania. Daniels, the Indiana governor, has 35 percent name recognition.
But the same poll showed T-Paw with four percent support for the nomination, the same as Daniels. That's far behind Mitt Romney's 20 percent.
NPR's Martin Kaste profiled Pawlenty for The Spark, a series on the GOP presidential candidates.
On Sunday, Daniels cited family concerns as the main reason he elected not to enter the race.
"In the end, I was able to resolve every competing consideration but one," said the former Bush White House budget chief, disclosing his decision in a middle-of-the-night e-mail to supporters. "The interests and wishes of my family, is the most important consideration of all. If I have disappointed you, I will always be sorry."
A two-term governor, Daniels had considered a bid for months and was pressured by many in the Republican establishment who longed for a conservative with a strong fiscal record to run. He expressed interest in getting in the race partly because it would give him a national platform to ensure the country's fiscal health would remain part of the 2012 debate.
But Daniels always said his family — his wife and four daughters — was a sticking point.
Had he entered, Daniels would have shaken up an evolving field that lacks a front-runner against President Barack Obama and that has been unpredictable in its early stages. Daniels had donors and grass-roots supporters at the ready for a national fundraising and political organization that some aides privately said would rival those of announced candidates.
Instead, Daniels becomes the latest Republican to opt against a bid as the GOP searches for a Republican to challenge Obama in 2012.
"He's a terrific talent," former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a Republican presidential candidate, said of Daniels on CBS' "Face the Nation" on Sunday. "He would have been a very formidable competitor. I really thought he would be in the front-runners from Day One if he'd decided to run."
Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., the chairman of the House Budget Committee and, like Daniels, a proponent of bringing fiscal issues to the forefront of political debate, said the governor's decision was disappointing.
"I think his candidacy would have been a great addition to this race," Ryan said on NBC's "Meet the Press." The Wisconsin congressman waved off any suggestion he was considering entering the presidential race himself.
Polls show that Republican primary voters want more options in a race that includes former Govs. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts and Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, as well as ex-House Speaker Newt Gingrich and others.
In the wake of the decisions by Mississippi Governor Barbour and Huckabee to skip the race, the clamoring among establishment Republicans for Daniels to run — including from the Bush family circle — had become ear-shattering.
"The counsel and encouragement I received from important citizens like you caused me to think very deeply about becoming a national candidate," Daniels said in the e-mail message. "If you feel that this was a non-courageous or unpatriotic decision, I understand and will not attempt to persuade you otherwise," he added. "I only hope that you will accept my sincerity in the judgment I reached."
Daniel had sounded more optimistic about a run in the past week than he had in months, though he never had sounded particularly enthused.
His advisers had reached out to Republicans in Iowa and other early nominating states for private conversations. But as he talked about a candidacy, he always pointed back to his family as the primary issue that would hold him back.
His wife, Cheri, filed for divorce in 1993 and moved to California to remarry, leaving him to raise their four daughters in Indiana. She later divorced, and she and Daniels reconciled and remarried in 1997.
Mrs. Daniels had never taken much of a public role in her husband's political career. So it raised eyebrows when she was chosen as the keynote speaker at a major Indiana fundraiser earlier in May.
Both husband and wife were said to be pleased with the reception they got, and advisers suggested that the outcome could encourage Daniels to run for president. Even so, Republicans in Washington and Indiana with ties to Daniels put the odds at 50-50.
A former budget director under President George W. Bush, Daniels used his time considering a run to also shine a spotlight on rising budget deficits and national debt, even though his former boss grew the scope of government and federal spending during his tenure.
Daniels, a one-time senior executive at Eli Lilly & Co., caused a stir among cultural conservatives by saying the next president facing economic crisis "would have to call a truce on the so-called social issues."
He is looked with admiration in GOP circles for being the rare Republican who won office in a Democratic year — 2008 — in a state that Obama had won. And, since being re-elected, he has leveraged Republican majorities in the state Legislature to push through a conservative agenda.
Daniels made his intentions clear in a characteristically understated e-mail. It was sent by the governor through Eric Holcomb, the Indiana Republican Party chairman and one of Daniels' closest advisers, and confirmed by others close to the governor on the condition of anonymity to avoid pre-empting his announcement.
It ended: "Many thanks for your help and input during this period of reflection. Please stay in touch if you see ways in which an obscure Midwestern governor might make a constructive contribution to the rebuilding of our economy and our Republic.