WBEZ | Nate Silver http://www.wbez.org/tags/nate-silver Latest from WBEZ Chicago Public Radio en But ... but ... Mr. Mayor, you shook my hand and promised ... http://www.wbez.org/blogs/charlie-meyerson/2013-02/mr-mayor-you-shook-my-hand-and-promised-105549 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/main-images/Screen shot 2013-02-15 at 12.14.20 AM.png" alt="" /><p><p><iframe align="right" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="225" scrolling="no" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/p9YKHzAiKMs?start=216" width="400"></iframe><strong>WILL RAHM RUN?</strong> Two &quot;well-connected sources&quot; tell <em>The Daily Beast</em> <a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/02/14/rahm-emanuel-toying-with-2016-presidential-run-sources-say.html" target="_blank">Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel has been discussing a White House run</a> if Hillary Clinton takes a pass.<br />* But he shook my hand on-camera last May and said, &quot;<strong><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p9YKHzAiKMs&amp;feature=youtu.be&amp;t=3m36s" target="_blank">I&#39;m not doin&#39; it</a></strong>.&quot;<br />* And before that, he issued&nbsp;<a href="http://soundcloud.com/meyerson/mayor-emanuel-weirdly-denies" target="_blank">this kinda weird denial</a>&nbsp;in September 2011.<br />* On the other hand: &quot;<a href="http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2013/02/hillary-clinton-running-president-ok/62143/" target="_blank">Hillary Clinton Is Running for President, OK?</a>&quot; (<em>The Atlantic</em>)</p><p><strong>TURKEY TALK.&nbsp;</strong><em>The Hill</em> recounts NRA chief Wayne LaPierre&#39;s insistence in Nashville, before the <a href="http://National Wild Turkey Federation" target="_blank">National Wild Turkey Federation</a> (hey, they have rights, too), that <a href="http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/283351-nra-chief-obama-revealed-gun-push-is-a-charade" target="_blank">President Obama&#39;s gun legislation has been revealed as a &quot;charade.&quot;</a><br />* <a href="http://www.chicagoreader.com/Bleader/archives/2013/02/14/the-speech-obama-should-give-in-chicago" target="_blank">The speech Obama should have planned for Chicago</a>, according to the <em>Chicago Reader</em>&#39;s Steve Bogira.<br />*&nbsp;<em>The Onion:</em>&nbsp;&quot;<a href="http://www.theonion.com/articles/66yearold-washington-post-reporter-hopes-he-livebl,31288/" target="_blank">66-Year-Old&nbsp;<em>Washington Post</em>&nbsp;Reporter Hopes He Liveblogged State Of The Union Right</a>.&quot;</p><p><strong>SAY IT AIN&#39;T SO, NATE.&nbsp;</strong>Nate Silver, the statistically savvy anti-pundit, considers ending his predictions: &quot;<a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2013/02/nate-silver-id-stop-blogging-if-it-influenced-election-157049.html" target="_blank">If it gets really weird in 2014, in 2016, then maybe I&rsquo;ll stop doing it</a>.&quot;<br />* Sen. Marco Rubio&#39;s mind is &quot;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/15/opinion/krugman-rubio-and-the-zombies.html?_r=1&amp;" target="_blank">zombie-infested</a>,&quot; according to Nobel winner Paul Krugman.</p><p><iframe align="right" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="225" mozallowfullscreen="" scrolling="no" src="http://www.hulu.com/embed.html?eid=xwshrmnmiv6qzhz-49lrsa&amp;it=i4273" webkitallowfullscreen="" width="400"></iframe><strong>FREE MOVIES.&nbsp;</strong>Fill in the gaps in your classic movie education with free access to the Criterion collection of films,&nbsp;<a href="http://www.hulu.com/movies/criterion" target="_blank">available all weekend on Hulu.com</a>. Where to start? &quot;<strong><a href="http://www.hulu.com/watch/215922?playlist_id=1335&amp;asset_scope=movies" target="_blank">Lord of the Flies</a></strong>,&quot; &quot;<a href="http://www.hulu.com/watch/215918" target="_blank">The Seventh Seal</a>&quot; or &quot;<a href="http://www.hulu.com/watch/215923?playlist_id=1327&amp;asset_scope=movies" target="_blank">The Blob</a>&quot;? So ... many ... choices ...</p><p><strong>DOES &#39;GO MAKE BABIES&#39; DISCRIMINATE?</strong>&nbsp;WBEZ blogger Nico Lang gives the station a chance to defend its new marketing campaign against suggestions&nbsp;<a href="http://www.wbez.org/blogs/nico-lang/2013-02/wbez-responds-criticism-%E2%80%9Cgo-make-babies%E2%80%9D-ads-leave-lgbt-people-out-105484" target="_blank">it discriminates against gays, lesbians and others unlikely to make children</a>.<br />* Five reasons&nbsp;<a href="http://blogs.kqed.org/pop/2013/02/14/5-reasons-why-npr-should-start-a-dating-site/" target="_blank">NPR should launch a dating site</a>.</p><p><strong>AND YOU THOUGHT THE MAPS APP SUCKED.</strong>&nbsp;If your iPhone&#39;s running the latest version of Apple&#39;s operating system, iOS 6.1, clever hackers can&nbsp;<a href="http://www.jailbreaknation.com/how-to-bypass-ios-6.1-passcode-lock-and-view-iphone" target="_blank">slip past your passcode to access your contacts, voicemail and photos</a>.<br />*&nbsp;<a href="http://allthingsd.com/20130214/new-iphone-vulnerability-lets-anyone-bypass-passcode/" target="_blank">Apple promises fix soon</a>.</p><p><strong>QUIZ TIME AGAIN.</strong> <a href="http://cpm.polldaddy.com/s/new-quiz-1" target="_blank"><em>Go for it.</em></a></p><script type="text/javascript" src="http://i0.poll.fm/survey.js" charset="UTF-8"></script><noscript><a href="http://cpm.polldaddy.com/s/new-quiz-1">Take Our Survey!</a></noscript><script type="text/javascript"> polldaddy.add( { type: 'iframe', auto: true, domain: 'cpm.polldaddy.com/s/', id: 'new-quiz-1' } ); </script><br /><hr /><p><em><strong>ANNOUNCEMENTS.</strong></em><br /><em>* Suggestions for this blog?&nbsp;<a href="mailto:cmeyerson@wbez.org?subject=Things%20and%20stuff">Email anytime</a>.<br />* Get this blog by email, free. <a href="http://feedburner.google.com/fb/a/mailverify?uri=feedburner/AELk&amp;amp;loc=en_US">Sign up here</a>.</em><br /><em>* Follow us on Twitter:&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/wbez" target="_blank">@WBEZ</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://twitter.com/meyerson" target="_blank">@Meyerson</a>.</em></p></p> Fri, 15 Feb 2013 05:00:00 -0600 http://www.wbez.org/blogs/charlie-meyerson/2013-02/mr-mayor-you-shook-my-hand-and-promised-105549 'FiveThirtyEight's' Nate Silver gives Obama a less than 50% chance of re-election...and more! http://www.wbez.org/blog/mark-bazer/2011-11-01/fivethirtyeights-nate-silver-gives-obama-less-50-chance-re-electionand-mo <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/blog/photo/2011-November/2011-11-01/RS3597_Obama Grimace_Getty_Alex Wong.JPG" alt="" /><p><p>While cautioning that a lot can change between now and the 2012 presidential election, stats guru Nate Silver of <em>FiveThirtyEight</em>, told me and <em>The Interview Show</em> audience at Union Hall in Brooklyn a couple of weeks ago that he felt President Obama's re-election chances had dipped below 50 percent.</p><p>Silver, who'd been on the show twice at The Hideout when he lived in Chicago, also talked about his career, how he analyzes polls, the GOP field and, for old time's sake, baseball. (Silver's background is in baseball statistics.) Watch the video below, and read <em>FiveThirtyEight</em>, which is now a part of <em>The New York Times</em>, <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/">here</a>.&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: center;">&nbsp;<iframe allowfullscreen="" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/OI0eqWTKIVo" frameborder="0" height="315" width="560"></iframe></p><p>(Please note: The interview took place a couple of weeks ago, so some aspects of the presidential campaign that are discussed may have changed.)</p><p>The next <em>Interview Show</em> is this Friday, Nov. 4, at The Hideout. More info <a href="http://www.hideoutchicago.com/event/71539/">here</a>.</p></p> Tue, 01 Nov 2011 14:12:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/blog/mark-bazer/2011-11-01/fivethirtyeights-nate-silver-gives-obama-less-50-chance-re-electionand-mo