WBEZ | polls http://www.wbez.org/tags/polls Latest from WBEZ Chicago Public Radio en Debate damage: Romney ties or leads in new polls http://www.wbez.org/blogs/achy-obejas/2012-10/debate-damage-romney-ties-or-leads-new-polls-102991 <p><div class="image-insert-image "><img alt="" class="image-original_image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/styles/original_image/llo/insert-images/RS6370_RomneyObamaDebates.jpg" style="height: 299px; width: 620px; " title="Some post-debate polls shows Romney gaining ground. (AP)" /></div><p>In at least one poll released Monday, five days after last week&rsquo;s presidential debates, GOP nominee Mitt Romney is beating President Barack Obama by four points.<br /><br />So, please, Obama supporters, tell me again about how it was all a trap to set Romney up for future failure, about how the president spoke directly to the people, how voters saw through Romney&rsquo;s lies, how the post-debate fact checking destroyed the Republican&rsquo;s seeming advantage.<br /><br />In the days after <a href="http://www.wbez.org/blogs/achy-obejas/2012-10/romney-won-get-over-it-obama-fans-102898">my post-debate story</a>, it seemed that was all I heard about. My assertion that Romney won and that there would be consequences to that victory didn&rsquo;t go over all that well.<br /><br />But here&rsquo;s exactly what I sad:<br /><br />&ldquo;Obama supporters can console themselves all day long by saying debates don&rsquo;t matter, that history proves that. They can also tell themselves that first debates usually help the challenger.<br /><br />&ldquo;But here&rsquo;s what history also tells us: Debates provide a bump of anywhere between 1 and 3 percentage points in the poll.<br /><br />&ldquo;And in a race divided by just about 4 points, that means Romney &mdash; and there does seem to be agreement both among pundits and early polls that he won this one &mdash; can pull himself up to within the margin of error nationally and quite likely lead in states such as North Carolina (where the president had forged ahead by a fraction), Colorado, Florida, and maybe even Iowa and Virginia.&rdquo;<br /><br />And here&rsquo;s where we are today: A number of <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/08/after-conventions-follow-the-bouncing-poll-numbers/">polls came out Monday</a> that show a tightening of the presidential race. Nearly all show a Romney surge. The Pew Research Center, which has usually shown a lean toward Obama, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/08/mitt-romney-polls-manic-monday_n_1949446.html">put Romney four full points up</a>.<br /><br />In other words, Romney&rsquo;s performance &mdash; whatever we might think of its substance&nbsp;&mdash;&nbsp;potentially garnered him considerably more than a mere historical bump. If you believe the Pew poll, Romney&rsquo;s rocketing.<br /><br />To make matters worse, <em>Politico</em>/George Washington University&rsquo;s Battleground Tracking Poll showed <a href="http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82122.html">Romney up by one point</a> in a statistical tie, and a growing enthusiasm gap, with the Democrats down.<br /><br />And in the states I mentioned last week? According to <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/"><em>RealClearPolitics</em>&#39; poll aggregator</a>, Romney now leads by a fraction of a point in North Carolina (where Obama was pre-debate). It&rsquo;s a dead heat in Colorado (where Obama actually went up two points) and Florida (where Obama dropped a few points). Iowa and Virginia remain more or less unchanged, with the president barely leading in statistical ties.<br /><br />Lastly, on Intrade, Obama&rsquo;s chances of winning have dropped two points to 64.4 from the morning after the debate. That&rsquo;s a slow drip, but it&rsquo;s still downward motion.<br /><br />Keep in mind that pre-debate, Obama was ahead and moving in these states (and on Intrade). And consider how much worse these numbers might look if the president&rsquo;s performance hadn&rsquo;t been blunted by the jobs report last Friday, which showed unemployment at 7.8 &mdash; the first time under eight percent in the entire Obama presidency.<br /><br />Believe me, I&rsquo;d like Obama to win this race, but merely wanting it won&rsquo;t make it so. The president did real honest to God damage, perhaps the worst so far to this campaign, with his performance &nbsp;&mdash; or lack thereof &nbsp;&mdash; last week.<br /><br />No, Romney won&rsquo;t repeat <em>his</em> performance style again, but Obama simply <em>can&rsquo;t repeat </em>his either. Not if he actually intends to win a second term.</p></p> Tue, 09 Oct 2012 05:00:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/blogs/achy-obejas/2012-10/debate-damage-romney-ties-or-leads-new-polls-102991 Polls will stay open late in seven suburban Cook County precincts http://www.wbez.org/story/cook-county/polls-will-stay-open-late-seven-suburban-cook-county-precincts <p><p>In a written release, Cook County Clerk David Orr said a judge has ordered seven precincts in suburban Cook County to stay open for voting until 8 p.m. tonight due to opening late.&nbsp;Voters registered in these precincts are permitted to vote&nbsp;up to one hour after the statewide poll-closing time of 7 p.m. All voters in line by the 8 p.m. deadline will be allowed to cast a ballot in the following precincts.</p><p><strong>Niles</strong><strong> 29</strong><br /> LINCOLNWOOD PLACE<br /> 7000 McCormick<br /> Lincolnwood, IL 60045</p> <div><strong>Northfield</strong><strong> 25</strong><br /> ST CATHERINE LA BOURE SCHOOL<br /> 3425 Thornwood Lane<br /> Glenview IL 60025</div> <div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">&nbsp;</div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><strong>Northfield</strong><strong> 66</strong><br /> COLE PARK<br /> 1031 Kenilworth<br /> Glenview, IL 60025</div> <div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">&nbsp;</div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><strong>Northfield</strong><strong> 67</strong><br /> COVENANT VILLAGE<br /> 2625 Techny Road<br /> Northbrook, IL 60062</div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">&nbsp;</div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><strong>Proviso 46</strong><br /> MC CLURE JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL<br /> 4225 Wolf Road<br /> Western Springs, IL 60558&nbsp;</div> <div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">&nbsp;</div><div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><strong>Proviso 53</strong><br /> WASHINGTON SCHOOL<br /> 1111 Washington Blvd<br /> Maywood, IL 60153</div> <div style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">&nbsp;</div> <div><strong>Proviso 95</strong><br /> VICTORY CENTRE<br /> 1800 Riverwoods Drive<br /> Melrose Park, IL 60160</div></p> Tue, 02 Nov 2010 22:35:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/story/cook-county/polls-will-stay-open-late-seven-suburban-cook-county-precincts