WBEZ | 2012 presidential election http://www.wbez.org/tags/2012-presidential-election Latest from WBEZ Chicago Public Radio en The state of campaign rhetoric http://www.wbez.org/blogs/bez/2012-09/state-campaign-rhetoric-102435 <p><p><img alt="" class="image-original_image" src="http://www.wbez.org/system/files/styles/original_image/llo/insert-images/Abraham%20Lincoln%20is%20shown%20at%20his%20debate%20with%20Stephen%20A.%20Douglas%2C%20speaking%20during%20his%20presidential%20campaign%2C%201860%2C%20in%20Illinois.%20AP%20PhotoBrown%20Bros..jpg" title="Abraham Lincoln at his debate with Stephen A. Douglas, 1860, in Illinois. (AP PhotoBrown Bros.)" /></p><p>Now that the national political conventions are over, the candidates are out pressing the flesh delivering speeches tailored to the particular audiences they&#39;re addressing. And, of course, television and radio ads are everywhere, each of them are crafted to make their guy look and sound more presidential than the other guy.</p><p>Although the <em>New York Times</em> and the <em>Chicago Tribune </em>show<em>&nbsp;</em>President Obama with a projected lead of 49 percent to Gov. Romney&#39;s 45 percent, and although a recent Pew poll shows President Obama at eight points ahead, many political pundits still think the final outcome could go either way. Even though Gov. Romney was recently criticized for his &quot;47 percent will vote for Obama&quot; comments, both sides are trying very hard not to offend any segment of the electorate; instead of offering details and policy, they wrap themselves in the flag and paint big pictures about the promise and future of America.&nbsp;</p><p>Whether you are a Democrat or Republican, you&rsquo;ve got to admit that both candidates &ldquo;stump speeches&rdquo; are not speeches at all. Instead of logical, well-researched arguments, the candidates offer a series of sharp, short, memorable zingers, which they hope will motivate audiences to vote for them. President Obama used to talk about &ldquo;hope&rdquo; but this time around, his refrain is &ldquo;Moving Forward&rdquo; and &ldquo;We Can&rsquo;t Go Back.&rdquo; Gov. Romney preaches that &ldquo;Business is a Good Thing,&rdquo; &ldquo;Entrepreneurs Built America&rdquo; and, harkening back to the Reagan/Carter election, &ldquo;Ask yourself are you better off today than you were four years ago?&rdquo;</p><p>OK, so &ldquo;stump speeches&rdquo; and sound bites too often degenerate into a series of pious, pithy platitudes. But what about the three upcoming debates in October? Can we as voters look forward to a real dialogue on the issues? Based on previous debates, I frankly doubt it. It seems to me that no matter what the question, both candidates will try to turn it in a way that best fits their particular agenda without offering a list of detailed and specific promises. The main goal of these events for the candidates is not to argue or debate, but to avoid any glaring mistakes and to present themselves well. <em>Bona figura</em>, good form, is the operative goal, not substance and depth.</p><p>I know that it is unreasonable to expect anything resembling the iconic Lincoln-Douglas debates, but I am convinced that politics, at every level, should be an exercise in ideas and reasoning, and the ideas that come out on top are the ones that have the best reasons on their side. Sadly, too much of our political dialogue resembles nothing more than posturing and puffery. As a voter, I for one think we deserve more.&nbsp;</p><p><em>Al Gini is a Professor of Business Ethics and Chairman of the Management Department in the Quinlan School of Business at Loyola University Chicago.</em></p></p> Fri, 21 Sep 2012 11:00:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/blogs/bez/2012-09/state-campaign-rhetoric-102435 Poll: Romney ahead of Santorum in Illinois http://www.wbez.org/story/poll-romney-ahead-santorum-illinois-97198 <p><p><span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; ">A new poll says that Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a slight edge over Rick Santorum in Illinois.</span></p><p style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">The Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll published Sunday shows 35 percent of likely GOP voters favored Romney to Santorum 35 percent to 31 percent.</p><p style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">Newt Gingrich had 12 percent, Texas Congressman Ron Paul had 7 percent and 16 percent were undecided.</p><p style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">However, the poll says 46 percent of voters said they could still change their minds before the state's March 20 primary election.</p><p style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">The poll of 600 registered likely voters was conducted March 7-9. It has an error margin of 4 percentage points.</p><p style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, Geneva; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">The poll shows that Romney is doing well in Chicago's suburbs, but Santorum has a 35 percent to 29 percent advantage in the 96 counties outside the Chicago area.</p></p> Sun, 11 Mar 2012 15:34:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/story/poll-romney-ahead-santorum-illinois-97198 GOP hopefuls look South for next contests http://www.wbez.org/story/gop-hopefuls-look-south-next-contests-97197 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/story/photo/2012-March/2012-03-11/AP120310176272.jpg" alt="" /><p><p>The raucous Republican presidential contest rolls into the Deep South this week with a pair of suddenly pivotal and tight races in Alabama and Mississippi.</p><p>The twin primaries on Tuesday follow a pair of weekend contests in the long, bruising fight to pick an opponent to President Barack Obama this fall. Setting the stage Saturday were Rick Santorum's romp in the Kansas caucuses and front-runner Mitt Romney's&nbsp;win in Wyoming.</p><p>Polls show a close race in the two upcoming contests, particularly in Alabama, where Romney, Santorum and Newt Gingrich all added to their TV advertising for the race's closing days.</p><p>Gingrich, whose campaign is struggling for survival, can ill afford a loss in either Mississippi or Alabama.&nbsp;Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, is seeking a Southern breakthrough to show he has the ability to win the support of evangelical voters.</p><p>Santorum hopes to knock Gingrich out of the contest and finally emerge as Romney's&nbsp;sole challenger from the right.</p><p>Speaking Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press," Santorum said his grassroots campaign has done very well against the better-funded&nbsp;Romney&nbsp;in one-on-one matchups. Still, he didn't call for Gingrich to quit the race.</p><p>"I didn't ask Speaker Gingrich to get in, I'm not going to ask him to get out," he said.</p><p>A Gingrich aide has said the former House speaker must win both Southern primaries to justify continuing in the campaign. But Gingrich strongly suggested otherwise on Friday as polls showed a tight contest in Alabama.</p><p>"I think there's a fair chance we'll win," he told The Associated Press about the contests in Alabama and Mississippi. "But I just want to set this to rest once and for all. We're going to Tampa," sight of the GOP's national convention this summer.</p><p>Romney&nbsp;had no campaign appearances Saturday. He won six of 10 Super Tuesday states earlier in the week.</p><p>Final returns in Kansas showed Santorum with 51 percent of the vote, far outpacing&nbsp;Romney, who had 21 percent. Newt Gingrich finished with 14 percent and Ron Paul, the libertarian-leaning Texas congressman, trailed with 13 percent.</p><p>Santorum picked up 33 of the state's 40 delegates at stake, cutting slightly into Romne's&nbsp;overwhelming's advantage.</p><p>In Wyoming,&nbsp;Romney&nbsp;won seven of the 12 delegates up for grabs, Santorum three, Paul one. One delegate was uncommitted.</p><p>The contests in Kansas and Wyoming left&nbsp;Romney&nbsp;with 454 delegates in the AP's count, more than all his rivals combined. Santorum had 217, while Gingrich had 107 and Paul had 47.</p><p>Romney's totals included 22 that he picked up in the Virgin Islands, Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands.</p><p>A candidate must win 1,144 to clinch the Republican presidential nomination at the national convention in Tampa next August.</p></p> Sun, 11 Mar 2012 15:20:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/story/gop-hopefuls-look-south-next-contests-97197 Taking the pulse of GOP voters in Illinois http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2012-01-10/taking-pulse-gop-voters-illinois-95422 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/segment/photo/2012-January/2012-01-10/EIYQ_Republican_Debate_Colo.jpg" alt="" /><p><p>Political commentator <a href="https://twitter.com/#%21/lennymcallister" target="_blank">Lenny McAllister</a> was in Iowa last week for that state's caucus. Tuesday, New Hampshire headed to the polls and<em> Eight Forty-Eight</em> listened back to McAllister’s play-by-play musings from his 72 hours in Iowa. Then, former Illinois Gov. Jim Thompson, Republican pundit <a href="http://www.fokn.com/FOKN/David_Dring.html">David Dring</a> and McAllister joined <em>Eight Forty-Eight</em> to examine how the Illinois GOP will assert itself during the early primary season. <em>Eight Forty-Eight</em> also looked at what the Prairie State has traditionally looked for in a Republican candidate. Listeners joined the conversation by calling <strong>312-923-9239,</strong> e-mailing&nbsp; <a href="mailto:848@wbez.org">848@wbez.org</a> or tweeting <strong><a href="http://twitter.com/848" target="_blank">@848</a></strong>.</p><p><em>Music Button: Orgone, "Impala", from the CD Killion Vaults, (Ubiquity)</em><br> &nbsp;</p></p> Tue, 10 Jan 2012 14:47:00 -0600 http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2012-01-10/taking-pulse-gop-voters-illinois-95422 Accusor feels 'vindication' after Cain suspends campaign http://www.wbez.org/story/accusor-feels-vindication-after-cain-suspends-campaign-94621 <p><p>The attorney for Sharon Bialek said Monday her client is not planning on suing Herman Cain.</p><p>In November, Bialek accused the former Republican Presidential hopeful of making an inappropriate sexual advance.</p><p>Speaking in Chicago, Bialek told reporters she feels "somewhat vindicated" that Cain suspended his campaign.</p><p>"Now, by him stepping down - albeit he didn't tell the truth in doing it - but at least I feel like I have impacted his race for the president," said Bialek.</p><p>Bialek said she did not want to end Cain's run for president.</p><p>Cain suspended his campaign Saturday after another woman claimed to have had a 13-year affair with him.</p></p> Tue, 06 Dec 2011 00:01:00 -0600 http://www.wbez.org/story/accusor-feels-vindication-after-cain-suspends-campaign-94621 Getting to know the Illinois' GOP presidential straw poll candidates http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2011-11-03/getting-know-illinois-gop-presidential-straw-poll-candidates-93724 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/segment/photo/2011-November/2011-11-03/Cain-and-Romney-at-last-weeks-debate-AP Oct-11 2011.jpg" alt="" /><p><p>The Illinois GOP presidential straw poll began online last week. For voters who prefer the traditional paper ballot, the main event is Saturday.</p><p>Republicans candidates have made appearances but have not spent a lot of time in Illinois.</p><p>The Land of Lincoln is of course home to Barack Obama, the sitting president and Democratic candidate; so, Republicans will likely face an uphill battle in the state.</p><p>To get a better sense of the field heading into the weekend, political consultant David Dring joined <em>Eight Forty-Eight</em> to handicap the field.</p><p>Dring is former advisor to Illinois House Republican Leader Tom Cross and is a political and public affairs consultant with<a href="http://www.fokn.com/FOKN/Home.html" target="_blank"> Fletcher, O’Brien, Kasper &amp; Nottage</a>.<br> &nbsp;</p></p> Thu, 03 Nov 2011 14:18:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2011-11-03/getting-know-illinois-gop-presidential-straw-poll-candidates-93724 'FiveThirtyEight's' Nate Silver gives Obama a less than 50% chance of re-election...and more! http://www.wbez.org/blog/mark-bazer/2011-11-01/fivethirtyeights-nate-silver-gives-obama-less-50-chance-re-electionand-mo <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/blog/photo/2011-November/2011-11-01/RS3597_Obama Grimace_Getty_Alex Wong.JPG" alt="" /><p><p>While cautioning that a lot can change between now and the 2012 presidential election, stats guru Nate Silver of <em>FiveThirtyEight</em>, told me and <em>The Interview Show</em> audience at Union Hall in Brooklyn a couple of weeks ago that he felt President Obama's re-election chances had dipped below 50 percent.</p><p>Silver, who'd been on the show twice at The Hideout when he lived in Chicago, also talked about his career, how he analyzes polls, the GOP field and, for old time's sake, baseball. (Silver's background is in baseball statistics.) Watch the video below, and read <em>FiveThirtyEight</em>, which is now a part of <em>The New York Times</em>, <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/">here</a>.&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: center;">&nbsp;<iframe allowfullscreen="" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/OI0eqWTKIVo" frameborder="0" height="315" width="560"></iframe></p><p>(Please note: The interview took place a couple of weeks ago, so some aspects of the presidential campaign that are discussed may have changed.)</p><p>The next <em>Interview Show</em> is this Friday, Nov. 4, at The Hideout. More info <a href="http://www.hideoutchicago.com/event/71539/">here</a>.</p></p> Tue, 01 Nov 2011 14:12:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/blog/mark-bazer/2011-11-01/fivethirtyeights-nate-silver-gives-obama-less-50-chance-re-electionand-mo Sampling the black community's opinion of President Obama's performance http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2011-10-05/sampling-black-communitys-opinion-president-obamas-performance-92842 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/segment/photo/2011-October/2011-10-05/110408_obama_elected_800 AP.JPG" alt="" /><p><p>New Jersey Governor Chris Christie announced Tuesday that he would not run in the 2012 presidential election. Many thought the Garden State governor was the GOP’s best chance to win the White House. But Republicans might have taken heart from some recent polls, which showed President Obama’s approval rating just above 40 percent. Poll results can be abstract – or just plain wrong. So to gauge personal opinions of the president’s performance, WBEZ’s Richard Steele headed out to <a href="http://www.valoisrestaurant.com/" target="_blank">Valois</a> in Hyde Park. The black community came out in record numbers during the 2008 campaign. <a href="http://wvon.com/personalities/salim-muwakkil.html" target="_blank">WVON host</a> and <a href="http://www.inthesetimes.com" target="_blank"><em>In These Times</em></a> senior editor Salim Muwakkil joined him along with local journalist <a href="http://www.hrtheseries.com/" target="_blank">Kyra Kyles</a> for a roundtable discussion with some of Valois’ lunchtime crowd. Richard began by asking everyone at the table for their current take on the president.<br> &nbsp;</p></p> Wed, 05 Oct 2011 14:25:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/episode-segments/2011-10-05/sampling-black-communitys-opinion-president-obamas-performance-92842 Republican presidential hopefuls scramble to win the Iowa straw poll http://www.wbez.org/story/republican-presidential-hopefuls-scramble-win-iowa-straw-poll-90527 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/story/photo/2011-August/2011-08-12/Fox Iowa GOP debate_AP_Charlie Neibergall.jpg" alt="" /><p><p>Most of the attention heading into Saturday's Iowa straw poll is on Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty, yet the lesser-known Republican candidates for president are working equally as hard to pull off a surprise.</p><p>And that might even be possible.</p><p>The Republican governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, says the straw poll is wide open. He warns against buying into the conventional wisdom that there are any front-runners for the nonbinding vote.</p><p>The outcome of the straw poll on Saturday in Ames can indicate both the popularity of the candidates as well as which campaign has the strongest organization in Iowa, the state that launches the presidential nominating season.</p><p>Often, overlooked candidates like Herman Cain, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul focus for months on the quiet business of grass-roots organizing.</p><p>Republican presidential contender Tim Pawlenty has staked his political future on this weekend's Iowa straw poll.&nbsp; He and his fellow Minnesota rival for the Republican nomination, Michelle Bachmann, sparred pointedly during a televised debate in Iowa on Thursday night.&nbsp;</p><p>Pawlenty has devoted much of the past two months to the Hawkeye State, but that's also creating some problems for his campaign in New Hampshire.&nbsp; Some say his New Hampshire operation, the most active early in the year, is paralyzed.&nbsp; Already one member of Pawlenty's New Hampshire steering committee joined another campaign. Others are teetering. Pawlenty's scheduled to return to New Hampshire late next week.</p><p>Meanwhile, Texas Gov. Rick Perry is expected to officially announce his candidacy for the Republican nomination on Saturday.</p><p>Part of Perry's pitch is the Texas economy, which has fared better than most states during the nation's economic troubles.</p><p>But President Barack Obama's political team is taking an early swipe at Perry's record.&nbsp; Obama senior political adviser David Axelrod says Texas benefited from booming oil prices and increased military spending on two wars.&nbsp; He said Friday on CBS' "Early Show," "I don't think many people would attribute it to the leadership of the governor down there."</p><p>Axelrod also criticized the wider Republican field in Thursday night's debate, saying they were more interested in pledging allegiance to the tea party's anti-tax values than in helping middle-class Americans.</p></p> Sat, 13 Aug 2011 05:47:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/story/republican-presidential-hopefuls-scramble-win-iowa-straw-poll-90527 Ind. GOP chair: Daniels to help shape 2012 debate http://www.wbez.org/story/ind-gop-chair-daniels-help-shape-2012-debate-86925 <img typeof="foaf:Image" src="http://llnw.wbez.org/story/photo/2011-May/2011-05-23/Mitch Daniels_Getty_Pool.jpg" alt="" /><p><p>The leader of Indiana's Republican Party says Gov. Mitch Daniels will continue to influence the national debate surrounding the 2012 presidential campaign while working as Indiana's governor.&nbsp;</p><p>Daniels said over the weekend that he won't run for president in 2012, citing concerns for his family.</p><p>State Republican Party Chairman Eric Holcomb told reporters on a conference call Monday that speculation of Daniels as a vice presidential candidate is hypothetical. Holcomb acknowledges that that a vice presidential run presents some similar obstacles as a presidential run, but says he won't "take it off the table" for Daniels.</p><p>Daniels' first public appearance is scheduled for Tuesday at a meeting of the Indiana Education Roundtable.</p></p> Mon, 23 May 2011 20:43:00 -0500 http://www.wbez.org/story/ind-gop-chair-daniels-help-shape-2012-debate-86925